Hello little naked gold man. Sure there are other award shows that give out trinkets in the form of globes and comedy/tragedy masks, but this is the big one. The “grand pooba.” The rest are for show, this is for bragging rights. It’s the 85th annual Academy Awards. Can’t believe it’s been a year since Billy Crystal took to the stage and a French, silent, black and white film took home the majority of the big awards. But that was, like, soooo last year. There are a lot of big movies this time around that could easily take the man named Oscar. Looking at who’s won in previous award shows, the quality of the films and how the Academy politics seem to lean, I thought I’d add my to the million guessers that try to predict these things. Here we go…
Best Motion Picture Nominees:
- Argo (GOOD FILM PICK) – AFI Awards, BAFTA, Critic’s Choice, Golden Globes, Roger Ebert, Directors Guild, Producers Guild, Writers Guild, and numerous film critic organizations have named this the Best Picture of the Year. I don’t have to say it’s going to win, EVERYONE HAS. Not to take anything away from the other nominees as they’re great movies but this is a nobrainer.
- Beasts of the Southern Wild
- Django Unchained
- Les Misérables
- Life of Pi
- Silver Linings Playbook
- Zero Dark Thirty
Best Actor in a Leading Role Nominees:
- Daniel Day-Lewis, Lincoln (GOOD FILM PICK) – Remember three things. One, this is Daniel Day-freaking-Lewis. Two, this is the Academy Awards. Three, the Academy voters are as old as Lincoln and probably knew him personally.
- Joaquin Phoenix, The Master
- Denzel Washington, Flight
- Hugh Jackman, Les Miserables
- Bradley Cooper, Silver Linings Playbook
Best Actress in a Leading Role Nominees:
- Jessica Chastain, Zero Dark Thirty (GOOD FILM PICK) – never underestimate the power of a movie where the Americans get the bad guy. Add the fact it’s a damn good film and the “bad guy” happens to be THE “bad guy” Osama bin Laden. Was Jessica any better than the rest? No, but they can’t give this movie Best Picture with Argo’s momentum so they’ll get rewarded here.
- Jennifer Lawrence, Silver Linings Playbook
- Emmanuelle Riva, Amour
- Quvenzhane Wallis, Beasts of the Southern Wild
- Naomi Watts, The Impossible
Best Supporting Actor Nominees:
- Christoph Waltz, Django Unchained (GOOD FILM PICK) – I really want to say Tommy Lee Jones has the upper hand here but I just can’t. Waltz does an amazing job as the dentist/slash/bounty hunter in this film. He’s likeable, quirky and the Academy likes to be a little different in the supporting categories.
- Phillip Seymour Hoffman, The Master
- Robert De Niro, Silver Linings Playbook
- Alan Arkin, Argo
- Tommy Lee Jones, Lincoln
Best Supporting Actress Nominees:
- Sally Field, Lincoln
- Anne Hathaway, Les Miserables (GOOD FILM PICK) – The Academy Awards loves this girl. It started with her duet with Hugh Jackman a few years ago, which led to her horrific hosting gig, and now a chance to win a statue. So why does she take it: She took the Golden Globe and the Academy likes nostalgia (ie musicals).
- Jacki Weaver, Silver Linings Playbook
- Helen Hunt, The Sessions
- Amy Adams, The Master
Best Director Nominees:
- David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook
- Ang Lee, Life of Pi (GOOD FILM PICK) – I’m going with a bold prediction here. I still think it’s a huge misstep that Ben Affleck wasn’t nominated here but if that is the way it’s got to be, why not the guy who made an amazing 3D film about a boy and his tiger at sea. There’s an old saying that you never work with animals, kids and on water. He did all three and made a gorgeous film.
- Steven Spielberg, Lincoln
- Michael Haneke, Amour
- Benh Zeitlin, Beasts of the Southern Wild
Best Original Screenplay Nominees:
- John Gatins, Flight
- Mark Boal, Zero Dark Thirty
- Quentin Tarantino, Django Unchained (GOOD FILM PICK) – His words are one of the biggest reasons people love his films. Words and Tarantino, I can’t bet against that.
- Michael Haneke, Amour
- Wes Anderson and Roman Coppola, Moonrise Kingdom
Best Adapted Screenplay Nominees:
- Lucy Alibar and Benh Zeitlin, Beasts of the Southern Wild
- Chris Terrio, Argo
- Tony Kushner, Lincoln
- David O. Russell, Silver Linings Playbook (GOOD FILM PICK) – It got lots of nominations but it’s not really favoured to win anything. Don’t get me wrong, it’s a great movie. It just came out the year there were a lot of great movies. The director also adapted the screenplay. Here’s where he gets rewarded.
- David Magee, Life of Pi
Best Animated Film Nominees:
- Pirates! Band of Misfits
- Wreck-It Ralph (GOOD FILM PICK) – I’m still hurt inside that Brave won the Golden Globe. Most would go for the easy way out and say it’ll take home the Academy Award. I say NAY! It was an OK flick, but Wreck-It brought something original and fun that I can get behind. If I have to pick one with my heart over my head, it’ll be this.
Are you nodding your head, or shaking it? Think you can do better? Prove it and tell me your picks. I double dog dare you.